Mathematician's Working Group

MWG

 
The Mathematicians' Working Group (MWG) has been reporting to the NAT SPG since 1968 and is responsible for providing mathematical and statistical advice relating to the on-going monitoring of safety through the assessment of collision risk and any other tasks as agreed with the NAT SPG.
 Terms of Reference:

The main tasks of the MWG are to:

a)    estimate monthly and annually the lateral and vertical occupancies (traffic densities) in the NAT;

b)    estimate the current lateral, longitudinal and vertical collision risk, as appropriate, to show whether the respective Target Levels of Safety (TLS) are being met;

c)    periodically perform other data collections (.e.g. core navigation studies) in order to ensure that the parameter values within the mathematical collision risk models remain current.

Composition The MWG is currently composed of experts from Canada, the United Kingdom and the United States. In order to ensure that NAT users' views are represented and to provide valuable operational experience, the MWG meetings are also attended by representatives from IATA and IFALPA. Representatives from Eurocontrol may also be invited as observers in order to ensure consistency between related European and North Atlantic work programmes.

Rapporteur/Secretary:        The United States

Working methods : The MWG meets annualy 2 months prior to the NAT SPG Meeting and produces a report which is incorporated along with the report from the Safety Management Coordination Group (SMCG) into "The Review of System Safety Performance".  The report contains current estimates of collision risk in the NAT which are compared against previous values and also against agreed Target Levels of Safety.  In this way, the safety of current separation minima can be demonstrated, any trends can be identified and remedial action can be recommended if required.  The MWG report also reviews any mathematical related working papers submitted to the NAT SPG and details the MWG work programme for the period until the next NAT SPG meeting.

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This page last amended date: 01 September 2004